This is super interesting. I love that someone has taken EA to TikTok so thank you all for your hard and very innovative work!
Two questions:
How come you went for the replaceability and suffering per calorie concepts for your promotional videos? On first glance, these seem like slightly more esoteric EA concepts (especially suffering per calorie) that wouldn't be as appealing to those new to EA. My fairly uneducated guess would be that something more simple/easy to understand like prospecting for gold could be fairly good - as it's a clear analogy related to the core of EA.
Relatedly, have you got ideas for upcoming videos or will you wait until the survey results come back?
They were just videos we had already wanted to make. I don't have a strong opinion about them being better than prospecting for gold.
I have a long backlog of video ideas, but unfortunately I'm not sure when I will get to them. I think these TikTok results are reasonably promising, but still pretty clearly less impactful in my work at CEA and my partner's bioinformatics work. (If people have different models here though, I would be interested to hear that.)
Myself and my partner (@benthamite) and Emma Williamson (@dailydosenews) piloted giving away copies of Doing Good Better on TikTok. This is a short write up of intermediate results.
Executive summary
We gave away 359 books across 5 videos
320 of those came from the most successful video
Each video took a couple of hours of work
I want to do a follow-up survey to see how many of these people actually read the book and got involved in EA. My guess is that a few of them did, which would make this a fairly cost-effective outreach strategy. I plan to publish a longer write up once those survey results are in.
Process
We created videos advertising various EA things, with a call to action for them to get a free book by accessing a link in our bio
People filled out a form with their contact information to receive the book. We did not require a credit card etc.
The form let them opt out of receiving a follow-up survey
Advertising
I tried purchasing promotion for one video. In TikTok, this means that the video was shown to more people than usual with small text indicating that it's being shown to the user via paid promotion.
As expected, this dramatically increased the number of people viewing the video, but very few of them signed up to get a book.
Probably someone should try this with a larger sample size though, and also with video which is inherently more compelling.
(I am unable to promote the most popular video as the sound is copyrighted.)
Thoughts on the most popular video
I filmed Sam doing a dance (as opposed to e.g. talking into the camera) because this let me decide later what text to put on top of it instead of having to decide that before filming.
I think this was the right call – my first attempt was not very successful, but the second one was.
Sam obviously has starpower but the fact that the first video was unsuccessful indicates that people aren't just watching because of his celebrity. This makes me hopeful that at least some of the people who got books did so because they were intrigued by the message.
The success of the video seems to have mostly been driven by having a higher watch percentage (as opposed to engagement through likes/comments etc.)
Thanks to the EABD team and the Open Philanthropy Project for making this project possible
TLDR: Take the population ethics quiz here: https://mdickens.me/pop-ethics/
Population ethics is an oft-overlooked subfield within ethics. Many people hold views that they don't realize contradict each other, or that have strange implications that they wouldn't endorse if they thought about it more.
Not just that—population ethics is a BIG DEAL. A lot of ethical decisions hinge on how you think about changes in future populations....
A preliminary estimate, and a request for better ones.
Summary
I believe the standard literature estimates for the number of DALYs attributable to a case of stunting are too low, largely because they don’t account for the long term effects. This means that childhood nutritional interventions that reduce the prevalence of stunting may be substantially more cost-effective than previously believed.
Epistemic status
Exploratory and back-o...
I’ve been feeling pretty shaken since the METR report about the Hugging Face incident came out last week. Over the weekend, I wrote up some thoughts on how lonely the AI situation sometimes feels to me. It’s more personal than what I’d usually share publicly, but I thought I’d post it here in case it resonates with anyone else.
I’m very grateful to the man...
This is super interesting. I love that someone has taken EA to TikTok so thank you all for your hard and very innovative work!
Two questions:
Thanks!