Congrats Samantha and the AIM team!

Thanks Vasco, I hadn't seen that. Do you know if anyone has addressed Nathan's "Comparative advantage means I'm guaranteed work but not that that work will provide enough for me to eat" point? (Apart from Maxwell, who I guess concedes the point?)

why are there fewer horses?

+1 to this being an important question to ask.

+1 to maintaining justification standards across cause areas, thanks for writing this post!

Fwiw I feel notably less clueless about WAW than about AI safety, and would have assumed the same is true of most people who work in AI safety, though I admittedly haven't talked to very many of them about this. (And also haven't thought about it that deeply myself.)

Is the amount which has been donated to the fund visible anywhere?

Sorry, I don't mean models that you consider to be better, but rather metrics/behaviors. Like what can V-JEPA-2 (or any model) do that previous models couldn't which you would consider to be a sign of progress?

What are examples of what you would consider to be progress on "effective video prediction"?

LLMs have made no progress on any of these problems

Can we bet on this? I propose: we give a video model of your choice from 2023 and one of my choice from 2025 two prompts (one your choice, one my choice) then ask some neutral panel of judges (I'm happy to just ask random people in a coffee shop) which model produced more realistic videos. 

Thanks for sharing this!