Alexander Gordon-Brown asked this question on the Facebook group:
Not-so-hypothetical question*: If you acquired a large sum of money**, what would you do with it?
In the name of epistemic modesty, I want to start getting opinions on this. There is a boring 'donate it to the best place' option, closely followed by an equally-boring 'save it and donate it later' option. It may well be the case that the boring options win, as I think they do for smaller amounts. However, it seems plausible that some ideas have increasing returns as the amount grows.
For instance, one idea I've floated to myself is effectively running a public giving game of some kind. There are lots and lots of ways this could be structured, with different upsides and downsides. I have some thoughts on this specifically, but I'm really just canvassing for others' thoughts.
*I almost feel bad for spamming the main forum with this. I'm doing it anyway because I'm not going to be the only one with this decision, and it's recurring (for instance, this is the approximately the situation for every finance earning-to-give EA once a year).
**I want to put exact amounts to one side, but lets say between $20,000 and $200,000 for the sake of grounding the discussion.
This question sounded like it would be easier to answer with threading and upvotes! Post your ideas for what a large EA funder might want to do below.
Note: Please post one suggestion per comment so that upvotes can be used as precisely as possible. Thanks!
(I didn't downvote!)
I agree it has large room for more funding, but I'm still not sure why you'd expect the average returns to be that high. Why do you expect individual EAs to be a highly capital constrained in a way that can't be addressed by (i) founding a new organisation (ii) other existing mechanisms (student loans, friends + family, app academy's learn now pay later model, doing a part-time job on the side)?
It seems like there could be a few good cases e.g. you know an EA who you think is really awesome, they want to do something that doesn't fit into an org (e.g. teach themselves marketing) and they're having to waste a lot of time earning money, and you can free them up by giving them 10-20k. But after that, the benefits seem modest. (though perhaps still worth doing).
$10-$100k is a lot. For context, 80k's cost per historical significant plan change is a couple of thousand dollars.
Perhaps you could tilt it more towards being a high-prestige fellowship style thing, and then hopefully (i) alter incentives (ii) give career capital to the most promising young EAs. This will require good branding though, and more effort selecting applications.
What do you think is the relevant disanalogy between a hypothetical EA fellowship and the Thiel Fellowship? Most Thiel Fellows have access to the same funding sources as EAs (perhaps more, because VC funding is so abundant). But it seems pretty clear to me that the Thiel Fellowship has accomplished things that Thiel couldn't have done without spending as much money.
Has 80k convinced anyone to try high-variance things using these other sources you listed as financing, other than starting a startup (which is easier to get funding for than lots of other good EA ideas)? If not, it seems like 80k plan changes aren't a good benchmark here, since they accomplish different things.