Recently I posted this:
This seems too good to be true.
I'd like people to confirm that my eyes aren't square:
A reduced risk of death from 21 in 1000 person years (assuming - this isn't explicit in the trial write up - person years corresponds to years under 5) to 11 deaths per 1000 person years for under 5s, who are covered by a micro-health insurance programme in rural Burkina Faso that costs around $1/year.
This translates to 1 infant death averted in every 100 infant years covered by the programme?
So 1 infant death per $120 assuming admin expenses of $20?
This seems unbelievable.
Unbelievable that there's a potential opportunity that effective.
Unbelievable that $1/yr can provide effective health coverage.
If it does hold for Burkina - the question is whether it will hold for other contexts?
You can read the original study here
there is disappointingly little raw data in it, but the researchers seem to be from a half reputable medical school in Germany.
Interested in people's thoughts - bunk?
Ben Kuhn's comment answers it pretty clearly. My eyes were square.
The trial I subsequently found to contradict this was much more persuasive - this doesn't look that promising but it might be depending on the context.