I disagree that we should avoid discussing topics so as to avoid putting people off this community.[1]
Perhaps for some distasteful-to-almost-everyone topics, but this topic doesn't seem like that at all.
few people are thinking about how to navigate our way to a worthwhile future.
This might be true on the kinds of scales EAs are thinking about (potentially enourmous value, long time horizons) but is it not the case that many people want to steer humanity in a better direction? E.g. the Left, environmentalists, libertarians, ... ~all political movements?
I worry EAs think of this as some unique and obscure thing to think about, when it isn't.
(on the other hand, people neglect small probabilities of disastrous outcomes)
It seems plausible to me we might be approaching a "time of perils' where total x-risk is unacceptably high and will continue to be as we develop powerful AI systems, but might decrease later since we can use AI systems to tackle x-risk (though that seems hard and risky in its own myriad ways).
Broadly think we should still prioritise avoiding catastrophes in this phase, and bet on being able to steer later but low confidence.
Walking around the conference halls this February at EAG Global in the Bay Area, the average age seemed to be in the mid-20s or so.
The average age of EAG Bay Area 2025 feedback survey respondents was 30, FYI.
I don't think this removes the thrust of your questions, which I think are good and important questions, but people do seem to consistently underestimate the average age of EA Global attendees.
In our survey data from EAG London 2021, where we tried this, we see that the virtual participants had a lower likelihood to recommend (8.1 vs. 9.1) and made ~4x fewer connections than in-person attendees (10.2 vs. 2.4).
I think Lizka expressed the main case against well (as does Neel)
lots of in-person attendees or speakers who would want to interact with people who are attending virtually are too busy with the in-person conference, the organizers are split between the two sides (and largely focus on the more involved in-person side), and there's a bit more confusion about how everything works.
I expect that this effect will be even stronger now that there are regular virtual events (i.e. fewer virtual attendees would attend hybrid events). If the main benefit comes from watching content, that's usually posted on Youtube shortly after the event (though not livestreamed)
I haven't visited CEELAR and I don't know how impactful it has been, but one thing I've always admired about you via your work on this project is your grit and agency. When you thought it was a good idea back in 2018, you went ahead and bought the place. When you needed funding, you asked and wrote a lot about what was needed. You clearly care a lot about this project, and that really shows. I hope your successor will too.
I'm reminded of Lizka's Invisible Impact post. It's easy to spot flaws in projects that actually materialise but hard/impossible to criticise the absence of projects that never materialised. I get the sense you aren't error adverse, and you go out and try things. I think more people in the community should try things like CEELAR and be more like you in this regard.
All the best :)
Thanks for this. I was about to contact my MP (Anneliese Dodds), but she seems to share my view here and has resigned as Minister for International Development and for Women and Equalities in protest (not confident that's the best call but I respect it).
It seems like you're making a few slightly different points:
I'm sympathetic to 1, but disagree with 2 and 3 for the reasons I outlined in my first comment.