About a week ago, Spencer Greenberg and I were debating what proportion of Effective Altruists believe enlightenment is real. Since he has a large audience on X, we thought a poll would be a good way to increase our confidence in our predictions
Before I share my commentary, I think in hindsight it would have been better to ask the question like this: 'Do you believe that awakening/enlightenment (which frees a person from most or all suffering for extended periods, like weeks at a time) is a real phenomenon that some people achieve (e.g., through meditation)?'
I'm sure there are still better ways of framing the question.
Anyway, the results are below and I find them strange.
Here's why I find them strange:
- Many EAs believe enlightenment is real.
- Many EAs are highly focused on reducing suffering.
- Nobody is really talking about this! (i.e., it's a very neglected area)
- Sure, research might show it's not cost-effective, but 1/10 already claim to be on their way by using an app.
Comments are appreciated!
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(1) Do you believe that awakening/enlightenment (that frees a person from all or almost all suffering) is a real thing that some people achieve (e.g., via meditation)?
(2) Would other people consider you part of the effective altruism community?
EA | Yes | 95 | 52.24% |
EA | No | 87 | 47.76% |
Not EA | Yes | 88 | 42.75% |
Not EA | No | 118 | 57.25% |
Also, isn't enlightenment notoriously hard to reach? I.e. it takes years of lots of meditation. Most humans probably don't have both the luxury and the discipline to spend that much time. Even if it's real (I think it is), there are probably lower hanging fruit to pick.
My guess is that helping someone to go from depressed to normal, is a bigger step in suffering reduction than from normal to enlightened. Same for lifting someone out of poverty.
However, I have not though about this a lot.