About a week ago, Spencer Greenberg and I were debating what proportion of Effective Altruists believe enlightenment is real. Since he has a large audience on X, we thought a poll would be a good way to increase our confidence in our predictions
Before I share my commentary, I think in hindsight it would have been better to ask the question like this: 'Do you believe that awakening/enlightenment (which frees a person from most or all suffering for extended periods, like weeks at a time) is a real phenomenon that some people achieve (e.g., through meditation)?'
I'm sure there are still better ways of framing the question.
Anyway, the results are below and I find them strange.
Here's why I find them strange:
- Many EAs believe enlightenment is real.
- Many EAs are highly focused on reducing suffering.
- Nobody is really talking about this! (i.e., it's a very neglected area)
- Sure, research might show it's not cost-effective, but 1/10 already claim to be on their way by using an app.
Comments are appreciated!
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(1) Do you believe that awakening/enlightenment (that frees a person from all or almost all suffering) is a real thing that some people achieve (e.g., via meditation)?
(2) Would other people consider you part of the effective altruism community?
EA | Yes | 95 | 52.24% |
EA | No | 87 | 47.76% |
Not EA | Yes | 88 | 42.75% |
Not EA | No | 118 | 57.25% |
You are right that a lot of people believing something doesn’t make it true, but I don’t think that’s what the OP is suggesting. Rather, if a lot of EAs believe enlightenment is possible and reduces suffering, it is strange that they don’t explore it further. I would suggest that your attitude is the reason why. To label it religious, and religion as the antithesis of empirical evidence, is problematic in its on right, but in any case there is plenty of secular interest in this topic, and plenty of empirical research on it. It is also worth considering that the strength of the case for an enlightened future for humanity (once we strip that term of some of the flights of fancy associated with it), is on par with that of humanity’s possible enslavement by AGI. If the latter is worth our time, why isn’t the former?