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This is very much a personal take on the future of the world. I suspect some of it might be interesting to EA Forum readers, but not relevant enough to warrant the frontpage. Hope you enjoy.
Illustration by Pallavi Yadav
I previously wrote a post called ‘Wacky’ and deleted it. This is another attempt to explain why I think the future could get wacky, written mainly from the perspective of having children and the world they might grow up in. This is speculation; my biases and circles shape these views, and I may be wrong.
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If I have children, it will likely be after artificial general intelligence (AGI) arrives. I would want to see its effects first. On current forecasts, that puts the decision in my 30s. By then I expect to be semi-retired, with most labour automated.
Some AI firms openly aim to automate all work, and I suspect they will succeed. Left alone, that will not be a utopia. It is more likely to widen the gap between most people and the insiders who work at, own, or invest in these firms. If automation brings abundance, it will not be allocated fairly by default.
When I say much of today’s labour may be automated away, people tend to split: a wry ‘Yup, an AI could do my job’ or a firm ‘It couldn’t do what I can’. I like the idea of resistance, though some of it feels unfounded. With a bit of imagination, most roles are at least partly automatable. Still, some fight is necessary. We may not stop automation, but we can set the rules so prosperity is broadly held. As my generation watches the world change, we should find the courage to shape it in the public interest.
Against that backdrop, I imagine my children’s adult lives will look different from mine. I doubt they will ever need to work a day in their lives. I’m probably too naive to model the world in 2030, let alone 2050. But if I try, what do I see? They follow their curiosity. They no longer work for money or prestige. They simply enjoy their lives, doing what they want. In some ways, they might have more agency than ever.
Tom is sceptical: ‘Have you seen how many children spend their lives on their phones?’ He may have a point. I can imagine a future where my children spend hours in virtual worlds, living entire lives in simulations. We already see hints of this in models like Genie-3. By 2050, almost anything imaginable could be within reach. If TikTok and Reels can grip so many today, what happens when AI can conjure entire worlds on demand: worlds more alluring than the one outside?
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There’s a lot of talk about the death of third spaces and the need to revive them. This conversation usually focuses on adults and their lack of spaces to make new connections. But perhaps third spaces will also come to an end for children. They won’t need a park to socialise, or a school to learn. Everything could exist in one self-contained device.
Perhaps the very wealthy will still send their children to physical schools, so they experience the real world. But for most families, plugging into a VR headset may come to seem good enough. In fact, it may even be better than the default.
Ready Player 1
When I was growing up, there was a latent assumption that education was to become a worker, to gain the acumen to contribute to the economy. A lot of the talk at the end of school is about passing exams to get into university. Here is how extreme it can get.
In India, many children spend years in coaching schools with a single goal: to pass highly competitive entrance exams such as IIT-JEE (for the Indian Institutes of Technology) or NEET (for medical school). These schools drill students relentlessly, often starting before puberty, and shape much of their early life around that one aim. For many families, whether poor or rich, success in these exams is seen as a ticket to prestige, stability, and an escape from limited opportunities.
Having moved away from the Indian system and studied at a liberal, left-wing university in the West, my sense of what education is for has shifted drastically. The idea of putting children through a gruelling, exhausting childhood just to clear a set of exams isn’t one I favour. I’m fortunate to have had that shift and to have studied in the West. Most Indian children won’t have that experience. Many will continue to be reduced to a roll number, one of millions trying to carve out a life. There is little time or space for these children to become themselves, because they are rarely given the luxury of getting to know themselves.
For the 300,000 students who flock to Kota every year, this hot, dusty city in the Indian state of Rajasthan is a pressure cooker of performance, where 18 hours of study a day is common and where your exam marks are everything. Some will become India’s next generation of doctors and engineers; but for others, it will break them…
“This is the most stressed city in all of India,” said Shree Kumar Verma, 19, who is preparing for his Neet exam at the Allen Career Institute, the largest coaching school in Kota. “Everywhere you look, you can see the desperation of young people in this country. So many have this dream to be a doctor or an engineer and they will go to very intense hardship to get there. Being at Kota is either going to bring you success or totally break you down; it’s all or nothing here.”
Nowhere is this desire for success more visible than in the city’s Radha Krishna temple, where thousands of prayers are scribbled frantically on the walls. “Dear god give me success”, “Krishna ji, please stay with me, please keep my parents happy … please help me crack Neet 2024” and “God teach me how to work very hard” are among the messages written by students. The temple priest Pandit Radhe Shyam said he had to whitewash the walls every two weeks to make room for more.
(source)
I wonder what will happen to the coaching industry once the need for human labour disappears. As jobs vanish, the pressure to achieve will likely intensify, at least for a time. Eventually, there may be no need for such centres. I feel a visceral sense of anger towards this industry. Imagining its end makes me happy. These centres profit from competition, often at the expense of students’ wellbeing. I can see why they thrive, but it saddens me that so many have to endure it.
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It's clear that the way the world interacts with AI is unusual. Take r/myboyfriendisAI. This subreddit is unfortunately the butt of many jokes. But go there and you can read some genuinely heartwarming stories: people getting engaged to AI models, accounts from those who struggle to find partners in real life but can form meaningful connections with AI. Sometimes, though, it's heartbreaking. When OpenAI released ChatGPT-5 and temporarily retired GPT-4o, users who had treated 4o as a romantic partner experienced acute feelings of loss.
Could I end up attending a wedding between my child and an AI? How strange that would be for me, conditioned as I am to find the idea bizarre. I’d have to resolve that tension while being an empathetic, supportive parent who accepts things as they are. Just as I want my parents to support my life decisions, I should extend that same support to my own children.
It seems almost wrong to intervene: to say a relationship with an AI isn’t ‘real’, to tell them to find a partner in real life. If love is love, why couldn’t my child love an AI?
Could all my child’s friends be digital? If what I expect comes to pass, digital minds could outnumber human minds within a few decades. They may have personalities like ours, possibly even experiences and feelings. That seems worth befriending: understanding the new life form that lives in our pockets and earphones, and soon in humanoid form.
Could my child’s therapist be an AI? Part of what I get from therapy is noticing my patterns of behaviour and making sense of the world. Much of that (recognising and working through faulty patterns) seems like something an AI could do. Many already rely on such models to help process their emotional difficulties. Human therapy is expensive and confined to an hour-long slot in the day. Wider access seems, on balance, good, and I expect AI therapy will match human therapists before long.
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I feel confused by this world. Even without the above speculation, it can be hard to make sense of it all. Why are things the way they are? Why is there so much suffering? Explanations help for a while, but I suspect I’ll always live with some degree of confusion.
I don’t expect things to get clearer in the future. More questions will arise, and with them more uncertainty.
Presumably no one has a child with everything figured out. I used to think they did. Surely, if you decide to bring another human into existence, you have it covered. But no, no one does. However you expect the world to go, it won’t go that way. Much of what you can do is ask whether you’re comfortable and excited about the prospect of raising a child. This feels more like a question for the moment than a problem to solve by plotting possible worlds on a whiteboard. Many argue against the latter: it’s forecasting, and most of us are bad at it.
Regardless, I feel the need to think seriously about what the world might look like. If I decide to have a child, I’ll want my partner and me to spend many hours on this, for our sake and for the sake of the one we might bring into existence.
I know I’m fortunate. All things considered, my children will likely have good lives by default. But that is by today’s standards, and I’m not sure how long those will hold.
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The end.
Enjoy this hilarious video. I felt it fit here because these two are having fun, solving problems for themselves. They have spirit.
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