Further reading

Goth, Aidan, Stephen Clare & Christian Ruhl (2022) Professor Philip Tetlock’s research on improving judgments of existential risk, Founders Pledge, March 8.

Sandberg, Anders (2021) Popper vs macrohistory: what can we say about the long-run future?, Oxford Karl Popper Society, January 25.

AI forecasting | cluelessness | estimation of existential risk | forecasting | longtermism