I'm pledging[1] to stop[2] saving[3] additional[4] money[5] & donate instead.
Fine print:
[1] This pledge is only good until 2030 unless renewed, and becomes invalid if I start working at a nonprofit.
[2] I'm still allowed to max out my 401k, partially since I have a 50% match there.
[3] Spending money is fine. I only spend 5% my gross, so that isn't the problem.
[4] I'm allowed to keep up with inflation, should the stock market not already do so.
[5] I'm allowed to keep saving illiquid equity, although I am encouraged to liquidate to the extent feasible to align with the spirit of the pledge.
There's lots of talk about how more EA-aligned funding will attract grifters. The Robin Hanson in me wondered what expensive or hard-to-fake signals exist for (human) alignment.
The first ideas that came to mind:
I don't know whether folks should weight these highly in funding decisions. Probably they all collapse under sufficient pressure.
Feels like most of these except the kidney are fairly easily faked or not that relevant. Community engagement and working for your own non-profit are about the first thing anyone seeking to grift will do, as well as people who are sincere (including as others have pointed out, the people who are sincerely wrong)
And Sam Bankman Fried was a vegan who apparently started off with a completely sincere desire to work for animal nonprofits. Treating these as signals and the people complaining about his behaviour and some of the things he said as noise was a bad move.
Here's another list from Caroline Ellison during the FTX times on valuable signals: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/M44i4CiMECP5Xoorz/demandingness-and-time-money-tradeoffs-are-orthogonal (which I'm not sure I agree with, but I found interesting)
I personally think people worry disproportionally too much about grift on the EA Forum, while implementation challenges and other considerations seem to be bigger risks in practice. (e.g. I don't think the Wytham project or Dispensers for Safe Water would have been more successful if they had been assigned to more vegan or more frugal people)
The kind of grifting that most concerns me within EA would result in a lot of fudging and inflation around reported impact in order to gain money & status. I think the hardest thing is fake, and the main thing we care about protecting, is real, verifiable impact. If there is an influx of money into EA, I would want the first thing to be done is to undertake a lot of new, third-party evaluation with depth. This is not happening today and I have not seen great plans to do so right now.
See also this comment which I also agree with.
One point where I disagree is that I'm more concerned about well-intentioned people genuinely believing their project is extremely valuable, but who lack clear evidence of impact end up not achieving much. I'm less worried about people deliberately lying/exaggerating to raise money for things they do not themselves believe are impactful.
But of course it's hard to say from the outside, you could always argue that people are secretly doing whatever they're doing just for the money & status, and I've seen people making such claims even when there's tons of evidence of the contrary.
Sure, if you can directly measure what you actually want (positive impact), that is of course best :)
Frankly, if you can’t measure your work in a that an independent person could evaluate, I would be very skeptical that you’re having any impact at all.