Vaccines saved 150M+ lives over the past 50 years, including 100M+ infants and nearly 100M lives from Measles alone:
https://www.gavi.org/vaccineswork/new-data-shows-vaccines-have-saved-154-million-lives-past-50-years
https://www.who.int/news/item/24-04-2024-global-immunization-efforts-have-saved-at-least-154-million-lives-over-the-past-50-years

Manifold users don't actually cash out that much, so we shouldn't actually need that much cash on hand

This omits why Manifold users didn't cash out much: return rates were unsustainably high. Ponzi schemes manage cash flow at the expense of profit

Sadly even slightly worse than 10x devaluation because 1,000 mana will redeem for $0.95 to cover "credit card fees and administrative work"

Animal welfare's far from the only problem with factory farming:

https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/rpBYejrhk7HQB6gJj/crispr-for-happier-farm-animals?commentId=hvCQ9kBvutrnkFm9h

 

Skeptical. Sentencing considers intent, but even those ignorant of laws themselves are found guilty:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ignorantia_juris_non_excusat

• also being used by a bunch of other forums (like the Progress Forum, the recently launched Animal Advocacy Forum, and the Sam Harris "Waking Up" community)

@Habryka is it possible to track all public Magnum forums? Any searchable legal attribution or technical element?

@Ariel Simnegar air pollution's another significant factor in pregnancy loss:
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanplh/article/PIIS2542-5196(20)30268-0/fulltext

"exposure contributed to 29.2% of total annual pregnancy loss in this region"

Animal welfare concerns could also nudge global health organizations to:

1) prioritize using medicine and vaccines over nets to tackle malaria:
https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/2024/1/25/24047975/malaria-mosquito-bednets-prevention-fishing-marc-andreessen
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/enH4qj5NzKakt5oyH/is-mosquito-net-fishing-really-net-positive

2) prioritize pork tapeworms:
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/oZff425xLnikfxeGD/pat-myron-s-shortform?commentId=7WPBp7dh9sA3BKEpB
 

Ray Dalio has attempted to quantity and visualize similar: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/big-cycles-over-last-500-years-ray-dalio

Curious about the geographic distribution: are efforts concentrated in more densely populated areas like Lagos?