Hi,
I've been donating 10% of my biweekly paycheck recently, but I'm starting to reconsider. I graduated from college a few months ago and just began working at a job that pays $60.10 per hour.
I live in the Bay Area, which, as you know, is an expensive place. While I’m currently living with my parents and paying $700 per month in rent, I’ve been thinking seriously about saving more aggressively now that I'm just starting my career.
So here's my dilemma: does it really make sense to stick to the 10% pledge at this point in my life? Part of me wonders—why not wait until later in life, or even until after I die, and include a 10% donation in my will? Wouldn’t that have a similar impact, or maybe even a greater one if I invest wisely now? For example, long-term investments like certificates of deposit or other vehicles could grow significantly over time, allowing for potentially larger donations later.
I also have some concerns about the structure of the 10% pledge itself for pre-tax income. Depending on your tax bracket, you might end up with less money by earning more, which seems counterintuitive.
The pledge also doesn’t seem to adjust for cost of living or personal financial circumstances, like whether someone is trying to build up savings early in their career. Shouldn’t it be based on disposable income instead?
Since I live in the U.S., I’m also unclear about how tax deductions for donations work. I think tax laws changed under Trump’s administration, so I’m not even sure if my donations are deductible anymore.
On top of that, I'm skeptical about charity effectiveness. Some nonprofits have a reputation for inefficiency. For example, I’ve heard that only about 30% of donations to the Red Cross actually go to helping people, with the rest covering salaries and overhead. It's not that I don’t care—these are important causes—but I worry that even well-meaning organizations like effective altruism non profits might suffer from similar inefficiencies. How can I know for a fact that these charities are actually effective, rather than just reading random nonverifiable statistics that it costs X amount to save a life? How do I know the data isn't made up?
I've also read troubling stories about corruption, particularly involving aid in certain countries. In some cases, governments stage photos of aid being distributed, only to confiscate and resell the supplies for profit. How can I really be sure that so-called “effective altruist” charities are truly effective? Saying that "$5,000 saves a life from malaria" sounds compelling, but how is that number calculated? If a net costs $6 and lasts for two years, wouldn't that translate to around $240 per life saved, not $5,000?
Honestly, I’m just feeling a bit overwhelmed. I’m at the beginning of my financial journey and still figuring out how to budget, especially with taxes and the high cost of living here. Committing to a large, ongoing donation feels like a big step when I don’t even fully understand my own finances yet.
I’d love to hear thoughts on my concerns.
Thanks for reading.
Just to address some of the valid points you raise:
(1) On charity effectiveness: At least in global health & development, GiveWell is considered the gold standard, and they are extremely rigorous in their evaluations - whether in terms looking at the scientific evidence or consulting experts or surveying beneficiaries or crunching the numbers in cost-effectiveness analysis or monitoring and evaluation.
I strongly suggest taking a look at their intervention reports (e.g. on mosquito nets to combat malaria: (https://www.givewell.org/international/technical/programs/insecticide-treated-nets) and their CEAs (https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/18ROI6dRdKsNfXg5gIyBa1_7eYOjowfbw5n65zkrLnvc/edit?gid=1364064522#gid=1364064522), to see just how meticulous and thorough they are, and to judge whether they take into account the concerns you have on corruption etc.
To provide some examples of what GiveWell adjust for, in their typically obsessive way - they adjust for (i) risk of wastage from double treatment/ineffective goods/goods purchased and left in storage till expiry, (ii) risk of misappropriation and of false monitoring, (iii) risk in the charity changing priorities or having non-funding bottlenecks or funging funding between more vs less effective programmes; (iv) % of mosquito nets actually used, (v) coverage years lost due to use of residual nets from previous distributions, (vi) program not having impact because it simply moved distributions closer together, (vii) internal & external validity issues with the randomized control trails used as evidence etc.
(2) On giving now vs later. I think it generally comes down to the following considerations.
(a) Value drift: I do think it's a real risk that by not donating, you lose the motivation to do so (it's easy to come up with excuses to put it off, not unlike exercise or dieting or quitting smoking/drugs/alcohol etc) and just end up not giving at all.
(b) Reduced cost-effectiveness over time: For most top GHD interventions available to the public, their cost-effectiveness will decline over time, because economic growth makes countries richer and reduces poverty and disease burdens over time - so if you give later, some of the cheapest ways of saving lives or reducing poverty will no longer exist (e.g. think of how expensive it is to save a life in America vs in the Congo, as an extreme example).
(c) Interest rates - as you point out, saving allows for your donation pool to grow (whether you invest in stocks or bonds or whatever).
Overall, (a) + (b) probably outweigh (c), making it more optimal to give now rather than later.
Point (c) regarding interest rates is quite tricky & subtle. At least, you should probably take into account something like the real interest rate instead of the nominal rate, because ceteris paribus it's much more plausible that only real (ie inflation adjusted) growth of your donation pool matters.
I would go even further and claim that, in expectation, you need to outperform the real risk free rate in order to generate a net benefit by donating later.
This means that unless you're happy to take some investment risk and aim to ouperform in real terms point (c) doesn't matter much.
However, imo if you're at an early point in your career, investing in your future career flexibility by having savings can have extremely high returns, which can outweigh all the other points.