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Arb

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Parent Topic: Forecasting & Estimation

Arb is a research consultancy that conducts original research, evidence reviews, and large-scale data pipelines primarily in forecasting, artificial intelligence, and pandemic preparedness.

History

Arb was founded in 2021 by Misha Yagudin and Gavin Leech.

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Posts tagged Arb
Most Relevant
2
186Comparing top forecasters and domain experts
Gavin, Misha_Yagudin, Arb
1y
38
2
184Experimental longtermism: theory needs data
Jan_Kulveit, Gavin
1y
9
2
168What I learned from the criticism contest
Gavin
4mo
33
2
112We can do better than argmax
Jan_Kulveit, Gavin
4mo
37
2
67The Track Record of Futurists Seems ... Fine
Holden Karnofsky
7mo
2
2
63[Linkpost] Dan Luu: Futurist prediction methods and accuracy
Linch
5mo
7
2
45Misha Yagudin and Ozzie Gooen Discuss LLMs and Effective Altruism
Ozzie Gooen, Misha_Yagudin
1mo
3
2
34Questions about and Objections to  'Sharing the World with Digital Minds' (2020)
Dr. David Mathers
4mo
3
2
33Summary of 'Sharing the World With Digital Minds' by Carl Shulman and Nick Bostrom
Dr. David Mathers, Arb
4mo
1
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