Macrostrategy is the study of how present-day actions may influence the long-term future of humanity.[1]

Macrostrategy as a field of research was pioneered by Nick Bostrom, and it is a core focus area of the Future of Humanity Institute.[2] Some authors distinguish between "foundational" and "applied" global priorities research.[3] On this distinction, macrostrategy may be regarded as closely related to the former. It is concerned with the assessment of general hypotheses such as the hinge of history hypothesis, the vulnerable world hypothesis and the technological completion conjecture; the development of conceptual tools such as the concepts of existential risk, of a crucial consideration and of differential progress; and the analysis of the impacts and capabilities of future technologies such as artificial general intelligence, whole brain emulation and atomically precise manufacturing, but considered at a higher level of abstraction than is generally the case in cause prioritization research.

Further reading

Bostrom, Nick (2016) Macrostrategy, Bank of England, April 11.

crucial consideration | existential risk | global priorities research |  longtermism | long-range forecasting | long-term future | trajectory change

  1. ^

    Bostrom, Nick (2021) Home page, Nick Bostrom’s Website.

  2. ^

    Future of Humanity Institute (2021) Research areas, Future of Humanity Institute.

  3. ^

    Duda, Roman (2016) Global priorities research, 80,000 Hours, April (updated July 2018).