Hide table of contents

TL;DR: We’re considering making an official “Draft Amnesty Day” on the Forum when users will be encouraged to share unfinished posts, unpolished writing, butterfly ideas, thoughts they’re not sure they endorse, etc. We’re looking for feedback on this idea. 

In the spirit of draft amnesty, I’m sharing this post even though it’s not very polished. :)

Motivation

We’re often told that posting on the Forum is intimidating. Anecdotally, lots of people have drafts they’ve written that they feel uncertain about. A draft like this tends to sit around in Google Drives gathering metaphorical dust until the author decides to spend time and finalize it (often, months later), the idea becomes irrelevant (someone posts something that makes it redundant, or the moment passes), or the draft is just discarded. 

I think it’s good to maintain a high standard for content on the Forum, but it’s a shame and a real loss when potentially very useful ideas never see the light of day — or get shared half a year later than they could have been. 

Sharing a draft before you share a final version of a post can also mean that the final version is better![1] Others can provide feedback, notice flaws, share relevant resources, etc. You can also fail faster, which is also a win. 

How this would work

  • We’d announce a day (or weekend). On that day, there might be a banner at the top of the Frontpage announcing that it’s Draft Amnesty Day (DAD). 
    • By default, we’d do this once and see how it goes. We wouldn’t plan for it to be recurring. 
  • We’d make a tag and encourage everyone to use it. Users who aren’t logged in wouldn’t see DAD posts by default, and others would be able to hide the posts entirely. 
  • We’d provide a template message to put on the top of DAD posts so that others can engage with it accordingly. 
  • We’d ask people to be especially nice in the comments of DAD posts (and would be ready to moderate any cases that violate this norm). On the other hand, honest feedback would likely be really useful, so I’d hope that this wouldn’t prevent people from commenting, and I’d encourage people to post “feedback guidelines.” 
  • Maybe: these posts wouldn’t be indexed on search engines, meaning they wouldn’t show up when you search via something like Google. 
  • If you end up polishing or otherwise finalizing a DAD draft and would like to share it again, we’d encourage that — you wouldn’t need to worry that you should “save” your posts for later. 

An example blurb to put on top of DAD posts

This is a Draft Amnesty Day draft. That means it’s not polished, it’s probably not up to my standards, the ideas are not thought out, and I haven’t checked everything. I was explicitly encouraged to post something unfinished! 
Commenting and feedback guidelines: I’m going with the default — please be nice. But constructive feedback is appreciated; please let me know what you think is wrong. Feedback on the structure of the argument is also appreciated. 

This would go right under the title (if the author wants to put it there). 

What do you think of this idea? 

How could it go wrong? How could it be improved? Would you post anything? Please share your feedback![2]

You can also use the comment section of this post to share ideas you have for posts and get feedback on those ideas.

Image generated using DALL-E
  1. ^

    I think this is related to “agile” approaches (e.g. to software development), although I don’t know much about the theory, and “lean” principles.

  2. ^

    I might not respond to everything, but I'll read all the comments. 

Comments20


Sorted by Click to highlight new comments since:

I would prefer one post where users leave unfinished ideas as comments

Right. On the current margin, we need interventions that increase quality and decrease volume, not the opposite.

I feel like this is equivocating between different types of quality in a way that makes the statement confusing?

I think there are a number of people who could make a thrown together bullet point list that would be very valuable. E.g. this "off the cuff thoughts" post from Carl is still maybe one of the best references on EA and systemic change to this day?

These posts might be "poor quality" in some senses (lots of grammar/spelling mistakes, unclear narrative, etc.) but "high-quality" in the sense of having important ideas.

I understand DAD to be encouraging this kind of post, which I would argue we need more of on the margin.

I agree that there have been some high-quality posts that are lacking in regard to polish (the same is true for any other dimension of quality). But will the average unpolished draft that you attract be good? Highly doubt it.

Maybe I'm unusual, but my drafts are usually in draft stage not because I am uncertain about the conclusion but rather because of "polish".

If other people are like me, I think I would be interested to see their unpolished thoughts. [1]

  1. ^

    At least, I would like to spend a week giving it a try. At the end of that week I might decide it was a bad idea.

"Research debt" is only a problem if the community has the problem of feeling like they need to read everything/keep up with the literature in the first place. Well, mostly. Rather than limiting people's willingness to communicate, should instead innovate on filtering higher-quality and lower-quality posts, for the dimensions you care about.

Alternatively/additionally, should split (self-sorted or not) into bubbles where newcomers feel safer to post, but still have an audience and a chance at prestige if they produce good work. I suggested something like that here... although most of the things I have to say about this is in my goshdang drafts. :p

I think Ryan Carey has a valid point. Current issues are valid and need to be respected.

However, I want to raise the thought: Maybe posting decisions should be mainly guided by  its impact on posts in the long term future.

If you consider this diagram, it’s clear that, as an EA blogger put it: “out of a staggering number of [posts that] will ever exist, our [posts] will be among the first.”

If the forum moderator runs an event that decreases forum quality for 1 month, I think this is a small price to pay for the chance this increases long term posting quality/quantity.

Agreed. I still think it’s important for people without time to write high quality posts (like myself) to share unfinished ideas, so I’m envisioning a weekly pinned post where people put unfinished ideas as comments

ES
14
4
1

I love it! Also having a tag all the time for drafts and unfinished thoughts would be nice too? 

My guess is it will be hard to maintain a significant distinction between normal posts and these posts, so de facto if this policy succeeds it will be by just lowering standards.

I like the idea of encouraging feedback on drafts. Maybe by sharing only summaries and getting feedback on those, like in All the posts I will never write.

I'm slightly worried the proposed event could clutter the homepage and bury more useful posts, might be nice to have viewing them opt-in. Also, if there are dozens of posts in a single day it will be unlikely for all of them to get feedback.

My only worry will be that there will be more things posted in a short time than anyone will have time to read. I'm still working my way through all the cause area reports. Some system to distribute the posts out to prevent fatigue might be warranted for events like these and future writing contests.

Pretty cool! I wonder if

I like it!

I wouldn't personally benefit from it,[1] but I think it could be a very good idea anyway? Haven't thought much on it, though.

  1. Readers may learn to recognise when they derive value from unpolished work, which may knock them out of the delusion that only stuff which looks high-effort is high-value.
    1. (the meta-skill of learning to notice what you're actually learning from is necessary for being able to get better at learning)
  2. Might nudge some people above the threshold of posting anything at all, which may help give them the confidence boost (or at least wet feet) to be motivated to post more later. The motivation to post more later can be usefwl for having motivation to find ideas to post about, which is good!
  3. I'm strongly in favour just because it reminds people that this isn't a journal, it's not academia, and we shouldn't be goodharting on professionalism.[2]
  1. ^

    Courage to post or fear of embarrassment isn't my bottleneck to getting things written.

  2. ^

    I realise I may sound like a stuck record at this point, but it's an important thing to say! :p

This is a good pilot - remind me of open source code publishing that encourage exchanging ideas while helping someone to get better at certain skill, highly support! Its especially for people like me who is new to posting articles online without having someone reviewed and critiqued before publishing. I also wonder what are some main topic of interest the community is interested to read about in the upcoming year, like is there a poll and a word cloud that generate the common theme? 

I like the idea! In addition, I would say people should feel free to publish such posts more than once a year!

I think the intent is great, but maybe if people find the forums so intimidating or unfriendly that they are reluctant or unwilling to post their ideas, there is a different problem that needs looking at?  

Obviously there is information overload in all of our lives, so a digest of draft posts could be helpful in getting eyes on those, but the mechanism for exploring those ideas may be more limited. 

Could you consider creating a permanent sub forum for idea development instead. One that is specifically for the submission of early ideas by those who are seeking editorial assistance or a sort of pre-screening from a friendly audience geared towards helpfulness , mentoring, or even just editorial support? This is an approach that is already used effectively in writing and storytelling sites. This forum could provide only notifications to those who sign up to provide support, but anyone could participate.

This could also provide a more permanent method for people to build reputation and ease into more full participation while also being more encouraging to the sharing of new ideas on a permanent basis. It feels like a way to provide a transition into the EA community without as much risk of alienating or having members not speak up. 

If someone has naive ideas and enthusiasm, an unfiltered takedown of that idea can permanently put them off or squelch their enthusiasm. Every one of us has had those ideas at some point (and probably still do, but hopefully we get better self-screening them as we get older). If they have an area where there is a tailored community to help them refine or kindly guide them to understanding why their idea may not work, you can cultivate them and help build excellence.

I would say regardless of the mechanism, it would be useful to provide a guide on some basic/minimum information that should be included to open discussion.

I think this should be acommpanied by a message/prompt in the comment text field that tells people that this post was a draft and to be err in favour of not giving any negative feedback

Yeah, for butterfly ideas it definitely would need more space/slots to maximize evaluation instances.

Curated and popular this week
Paul Present
 ·  · 28m read
 · 
Note: I am not a malaria expert. This is my best-faith attempt at answering a question that was bothering me, but this field is a large and complex field, and I’ve almost certainly misunderstood something somewhere along the way. Summary While the world made incredible progress in reducing malaria cases from 2000 to 2015, the past 10 years have seen malaria cases stop declining and start rising. I investigated potential reasons behind this increase through reading the existing literature and looking at publicly available data, and I identified three key factors explaining the rise: 1. Population Growth: Africa's population has increased by approximately 75% since 2000. This alone explains most of the increase in absolute case numbers, while cases per capita have remained relatively flat since 2015. 2. Stagnant Funding: After rapid growth starting in 2000, funding for malaria prevention plateaued around 2010. 3. Insecticide Resistance: Mosquitoes have become increasingly resistant to the insecticides used in bednets over the past 20 years. This has made older models of bednets less effective, although they still have some effect. Newer models of bednets developed in response to insecticide resistance are more effective but still not widely deployed.  I very crudely estimate that without any of these factors, there would be 55% fewer malaria cases in the world than what we see today. I think all three of these factors are roughly equally important in explaining the difference.  Alternative explanations like removal of PFAS, climate change, or invasive mosquito species don't appear to be major contributors.  Overall this investigation made me more convinced that bednets are an effective global health intervention.  Introduction In 2015, malaria rates were down, and EAs were celebrating. Giving What We Can posted this incredible gif showing the decrease in malaria cases across Africa since 2000: Giving What We Can said that > The reduction in malaria has be
Rory Fenton
 ·  · 6m read
 · 
Cross-posted from my blog. Contrary to my carefully crafted brand as a weak nerd, I go to a local CrossFit gym a few times a week. Every year, the gym raises funds for a scholarship for teens from lower-income families to attend their summer camp program. I don’t know how many Crossfit-interested low-income teens there are in my small town, but I’ll guess there are perhaps 2 of them who would benefit from the scholarship. After all, CrossFit is pretty niche, and the town is small. Helping youngsters get swole in the Pacific Northwest is not exactly as cost-effective as preventing malaria in Malawi. But I notice I feel drawn to supporting the scholarship anyway. Every time it pops in my head I think, “My money could fully solve this problem”. The camp only costs a few hundred dollars per kid and if there are just 2 kids who need support, I could give $500 and there would no longer be teenagers in my town who want to go to a CrossFit summer camp but can’t. Thanks to me, the hero, this problem would be entirely solved. 100%. That is not how most nonprofit work feels to me. You are only ever making small dents in important problems I want to work on big problems. Global poverty. Malaria. Everyone not suddenly dying. But if I’m honest, what I really want is to solve those problems. Me, personally, solve them. This is a continued source of frustration and sadness because I absolutely cannot solve those problems. Consider what else my $500 CrossFit scholarship might do: * I want to save lives, and USAID suddenly stops giving $7 billion a year to PEPFAR. So I give $500 to the Rapid Response Fund. My donation solves 0.000001% of the problem and I feel like I have failed. * I want to solve climate change, and getting to net zero will require stopping or removing emissions of 1,500 billion tons of carbon dioxide. I give $500 to a policy nonprofit that reduces emissions, in expectation, by 50 tons. My donation solves 0.000000003% of the problem and I feel like I have f
LewisBollard
 ·  · 8m read
 · 
> How the dismal science can help us end the dismal treatment of farm animals By Martin Gould ---------------------------------------- Note: This post was crossposted from the Open Philanthropy Farm Animal Welfare Research Newsletter by the Forum team, with the author's permission. The author may not see or respond to comments on this post. ---------------------------------------- This year we’ll be sharing a few notes from my colleagues on their areas of expertise. The first is from Martin. I’ll be back next month. - Lewis In 2024, Denmark announced plans to introduce the world’s first carbon tax on cow, sheep, and pig farming. Climate advocates celebrated, but animal advocates should be much more cautious. When Denmark’s Aarhus municipality tested a similar tax in 2022, beef purchases dropped by 40% while demand for chicken and pork increased. Beef is the most emissions-intensive meat, so carbon taxes hit it hardest — and Denmark’s policies don’t even cover chicken or fish. When the price of beef rises, consumers mostly shift to other meats like chicken. And replacing beef with chicken means more animals suffer in worse conditions — about 190 chickens are needed to match the meat from one cow, and chickens are raised in much worse conditions. It may be possible to design carbon taxes which avoid this outcome; a recent paper argues that a broad carbon tax would reduce all meat production (although it omits impacts on egg or dairy production). But with cows ten times more emissions-intensive than chicken per kilogram of meat, other governments may follow Denmark’s lead — focusing taxes on the highest emitters while ignoring the welfare implications. Beef is easily the most emissions-intensive meat, but also requires the fewest animals for a given amount. The graph shows climate emissions per tonne of meat on the right-hand side, and the number of animals needed to produce a kilogram of meat on the left. The fish “lives lost” number varies significantly by
Relevant opportunities