Metaculus is a reputation-based site for soliciting and aggregating predictions. It was founded in November 2015 by astrophysicist Anthony Aguirre, cosmologist Greg Laughlin and data scientist Max Wainwright (Mann 2016; Shelton 2016).


Aguirre, Anthony (2016) Predicting the future (of life), Future of Life Institute, January 24.

Aguirre, Anthony (2021) A primer on the Metaculus scoring rule, Medium, February 27....

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